Predicting the winner of the 2010 World Cup

What is the forecast of the economy has to do with predicting the winners of the World Cup? A lot, if you listen, the Swiss bank UBS.

In the 2006 World Cup, economists and analysts at UBS Wealth Management Research, UBS, which uses the statistical model, the decision allowed them to predict market trends and investment and has applied it to predict the winners of the Cup World.

They correctly predicted that Italy would be champion. Furthermore, it wasalways correct in six of the eight quarter finalists. Their curriculum also correctly predicted three of the four semi-finalists.

UBS is a purely quantitative model and performance criteria in the past, home advantage and strength of the team. We will now discuss the model:

Benefits in the past, so far seven countries have won championships. (Brazil five times, four in Italy, three times in Germany, Argentina and Uruguay twice, France and Englandonce each). Thus, according to UBS, if you get one of these seven teams, it seems a safe bet.

As with the advantage of home, the third of the country was a World Cup final won by the hosts. Time:

# The weather is mild in winter in South Africa, and it seems that the hosts do not have the advantage of the climate. This also applies to African States in the final round.

# Some games will take place in areas at high altitudes. This is a clear benefit to theHost and the teams of South America such as Brazil.

# In every tournament there is speculation about referees favor the home team. If there are many controversial calls for support of the host country?

# This World Cup will be in Africa, there are many who wonder if an African nation will advance past the preliminary round time in the quarter-finals for the first time. In every tournament there is always a team that will surprise. This team will come from Africa?

# EFinally, there is this "outside Europe" syndrome. Previously, each side's World Cup team won by a European or American or South. No European team outside the comfort of their own continent and won. Now, South Africa, many experts believe that the South American teams have grounded the so-called advantage.

With regard to the strength of the team, took into account the FIFA rankings and UBS shares of the bookmaker.

So which team will be picked up, UBSWorld Cup 2010 World Cup? Brazil.

Well, your guess is as good as mine, is going to win on the team. My crystal ball tells me that confidence is Spain.

In every World Cup Betting wise, it's a real challenge. The tournament is held every four years, ending months before qualifying the ball in the first game of the final phase will be kicked. During this period, much can change in football.

World Cup means patriotic zeal comes into play. We allhave passionate feelings for a team or a player of some particular, that determine our decision.

There are 32 teams in the finals so technically there are 32 possible winners. It 's interesting to note some characteristics of these teams:

* Some teams have a good department hit with tons of firepower, but lacking in the world.

* Some teams have great talent, but coach crazy.

* Some are as perennial underachievers like Spain and perceivedEngland, who appeared to choke on the big stage.

* Some of the tournament are teams like Germany and Italy, which can be estimated before the final, but knows how to grind results. Well this is in the benefits in the past.

* Experts have predicted Spain to win the last two World Cups - but never have.

* England going to win every time in English - but they never do.

And there are some interesting statistics:

# No team has managed todefended the toilet for a long time. If the winner of the 2006 Italy the exception? But Italy has a team of aging and can not expect all the way to be last. It 's easier to reach the top, but much harder to stay there!

# Only one of their last 21 games he missed the host team WC, South Africa would be the surprise?

Why did Spain win

With a loss in the last 46 matches, Spain was in South Africa as one of the best teams. They are the favorites to liftWM on July 11. They are ahead of Brazil, in the eyes of the bookmakers and experts.

Spain (Rank 1) will play in Group H against Chile (17 °), Switzerland (rank 18) and Honduras (38th).

You have been in the past by the media dubbed "the eternal underachievers." But the faith of their fans this time may be justified, because they have completely turned the corner after winning the Euro 2008. They built on that success and then they won all their qualifications2010 World Cup matches, the first team to a record.

Talents

Spain is a team with smooth stones. They boast the talents of Fernando Torres and David Villa on, Xavi and Andres Iniesta, Xabi Alonso and Cesc Fabregas in the middle, Carles Puyol and Pique Gerrard on the back, and Iker Casillas's goal. The European champions in office to watch a huge amount.

They are stacked with players from the elite leagues in Europe such as Barcelona and RealMadrid. The team has depth, so that even the mighty captain Fabregas of Arsenal, which has many one of the best midfielders around, warm the bench as a substitute.

A well-balanced team is necessary to obtain the consistency of a high-level tournament. Look at Argentina. The hope of the nation rests on the shoulders of the young Messi. But Messi does not lead to his country as he does for Barcelona because he does not like marshals the midfieldXavi and Iniesta pulling the strings behind him. Argentina manager And I leave you alone.

The Spanish team is largely unchanged from the team that won Euro 2008. Just playing together for years a better understanding of the field. The Spain of today exude peace and trust. Use of the European crown makes these things for you.

Injuries

Of course injury is a concern, but this is the same for each team. Torres and Fabregas missed playing the back-endLeague due to injuries. Given the positive side, this could actually be a blessing in disguise Cup as they are fully rested for the world.

Spain has a deep team with a relatively capable replacement. You're not a team or two men like Ivory Coast, based on Drogba.

If the lesions play makers are added to each team as Rooney for England, Lucio and Kaka for Brazil, Mexico to Argentina, suffered Sneijder for Holland, injuries are a serious etc.Disaster for any team.

Print

His place as a top-1 and favorites are the great expectations. Spain crack under the pressure?

Much has been made before June of their 2-0 win at the last Confederations Cup semi-final in the United States. This ended their 35 game streaks without a loss. Some have said that Spain buckled under the pressure in this game because so much striped Match 35 Brazil would not break a loss. For many, this is considered one of the mainPressure to be weak.

Many teams lose games should win. The most important thing to know that there is a lesson from this loss. I think that Spaniards had learned an important lesson indeed. Since then, he lost again.

Mental Toughness

Psychologists often that half the battle is won in the head. Unfortunately, the unwanted tag necklace several years, Spain on the big stage. In the past, when it comes to crisis, they lost.

Butnow agreed to all the players know that is their greatest enemy, and they have become more self-belief.

Complacency

There is a huge threat of complacency in dealing with the likes of Honduras, Chile and Switzerland. I am confident that knowledge with an experienced coach Del Bosque, players in all clarity, that a place in the second round is not a formality.

Assurance and over-confidence is shared by a very thin line. The last thingyou think it is already the game even before the ball is kicked won.

How to beat Spain

Some have said that the way to beat the Spaniard José Mourinho tactic, which was followed by Inter, where almost all failed by beating Barcelona in the Champions League. The tactic is to have the players to defend deep in their own half, threw soak up the pressure on them and quickly lock a gate. Well, I'm not sure if it could be another"Special One" for you.

Conclusion

If they keep their heads Spain wins the World Cup 2010. If you do not, they will simply be defeated by himself.

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